Taking the Roof off of the Internet

The recent legislative proposal on Network Neutrality proposed by Google and Verizon would “allow broadband providers to offer additional, differentiated online services, in addition to the Internet access and video services (such as Verizon’s FIOS TV) offered today.”  Some critics have argued that that the deal would create a two-tiered Internet, one upper tier for differentiated services and one lower tier for commodity packets.  The first could swallow the second, as ISPs try to up-sell their customers to higher margin products.  So, in short, the basic Internet will get crappier and the managed Internet will get more expensive and less open to competing sources of content and applications.

There is some strong precedent for this criticism since it is not a new economic phenomenon.  Emile Dupuit observed of the French rail system in 1849:

It is not because of the few thousand francs which would have to be spent to put a roof over the third-class carriage or to upholster the third-class seats that some company or other has open carriages with wooden benches … What the company is trying to do is prevent the passengers who can pay the second-class fare from traveling third class; it hits the poor, not because it wants to hurt them, but to frighten the rich … And it is again for the same reason that the companies, having proved almost cruel to the third-class passengers and mean to the second-class ones, become lavish in dealing with first-class customers. Having refused the poor what is necessary, they give the rich what is superfluous.

As I wrote in a previous Cool Stuff, I am not inherently opposed to two tiered pricing.

Stevenson's Rocket

Sometimes even an economist will spend £5 to ride in an open carriage, if it makes his kid happy.

Even in common carriage networks there has been tiering and prioritization, such as business and economy classes in rail and air transport, for example.  In traditional a telephone networks, there was tiering. Although every one got VGS (voice grade service), under the Bell System there was still business and residential classes of service.  The network was capable of certain forms of call prioritization in emergencies, calls to 911, calling out prioritization over calling in, and GETS (Government Emergency Telecommunications Service).  There was also prioritization based on first-in-time.  The telephone network was designed to handle only fraction of capacity, and on occasion, you might get an “all circuits are busy” message when your call was blocked.

More troubling than a two-tiered Internet is the in the way which the deal could misalign economic incentives.  The Google-Verizon deal could change to the way networks compensate one another for carrying traffic to their respective customers, if the content or application provider is paying for better service on the enduser’s network.  There are basically three ways networks can compensate one another: calling-party-pays; receiving-party-pays; and bill-and-keep.  Money changes hands as their names suggest.  Bill-and-keep is the way most Internet traffic is exchanged (peering).  It works well when the networks are roughly equivalent in size, traffic flows, and cost-causation.  Receiving party pays is how most cell phone networks exchange traffic in the US.  It provides pretty good economic incentives.  The problem with the Google-Verizon deal is that it could be, in effect, a calling-party-pays arrangement.  Without regulation, these arrangements provide the opportunity for carriers to shift costs to rival networks and engage in other system-gaming.  When dealing with a “termination monopoly” such as an Internet connection, traffic should be exchanged under receiving party-pays or bill-and-keep arrangements.  The termination monopoly exists anytime there is only one network which can terminate traffic to a network end point.  It is surprisingly durable.  Even when there is a healthy number of competitors in access networks (fixed or wireless), once a subscriber chooses a particular network, he forecloses all other ways for other network participants to send him traffic.  It is in the termination network’s interest to keep prices low for its subscribers and charge high costs to other networks’ subscribers. In the current case, this fact is Okay for Google because it has lots of cash.  However, its competitors and start-ups might not be able to pay for such termination.  In this way, the Google-Verizon deal could in the long run serve to limit others from the market place.

In the end, either competition or regulation has to constrain this behavior.

Insight: Google Verizon proposal is not so much a threat to network neutrality (lower case) as it is to network economics.  Part of this is the public face of a private bargaining game. Players in the value chain are using the political and regulatory process as they struggle to gain a larger share of that chain.  It is not evil, merely self-interested.  That is fine.  At some level, Google and Verizon should be lauded for working towards a compromise and to move things forward.  But, they should not get to make public policy.  That is the exclusive domain of Congress and the FCC.  The FCC should take those views into account then offer its own independent decision to impose regulation or not.  Professors Susan Crawford and Lawrence Lessig (both of whom I admire very much) get this exactly right in their Op-Ed last week.  If Google and Verizon want to offer an internet without a roof, the FCC should make sure that another company is able to offer a competing one with a roof.

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  • http://kennethrcarter.com/CoolStuff Kenneth R. Carter

    Kind words on this post by my good friend Stefano Quintarelli on his Quinta’s Weblog: http://blog.quintarelli.it/blog/2010/08/eccellente-analisi-di-ken-carter-sulla-proposta-google-verizon-da-leggere.html. Please read, or at least Google Translate.

  • Rudolf

    sorry, kenneth, but Peering is not the default on the internet, transit is. Getting transit is easy. Getting peering is hard. Most people don’t have enough traffic to sustain a peering agreement and are better off with transit. Getting peering also requires regular attendance at meetings where a lot of alcohol is present. nnFurthermore peering has nothing to do with the direction nor with the balance in traffic. Yes I know there are idiots who believe in traffic ratios. Ask Google, their incoming is much lower than their outgoing and still everyone peers with them. Why is that. Well transit is paid for based on a given capacity measured these days in Gbit/s/month, regardless of direction. Both eyeball networks as well as content networks pay to the transit provider. Many content networks, like Google or Akamai may even pay less for transit than eyeball networks as they are bigger and can buy at cheaper locations, such as Amsterdam. So in order to get a peering the content network and eyeball network will look at the amount of money they can save from peering with the other network and cutting the transit network out of the loop. Many eyeball networks may reach this point earlier than some big content networks. So there you are, it doesn’t matter which way the traffic flows.

  • http://kennethrcarter.com/CoolStuff Kenneth R. Carter

    Rudolf, thanks for your comments. They are, as always, well informed and very insightful. I had to noodle this through for a while before I could respond. What I am left with is even if peering is not the dominant arrangement how does that change my analysis?nnI have no issue with transit providers. Transit tends to be a competitive market and even if both parties pay to the transit provider, there is no termination monopoly problem. If you do not like the cost of one transit provider, you can probably find someone else to give you a circuit on the same route. Similarly, I have no problem with u201ccontentu201d networks (we can stop beating up on Google) developing competitive advantages by building out distributed networks which move content closer to the eyeballs in the u201ceyeballu201d networks in order to improve the delivery performance over their competitors. I have said so in a previous Cool Stuff: http://kennethrcarter.com/CoolStuff/2008/12/network-neutrality-is-dead-long-live-network-neutrality/nnFurther, I agree completely that the eyeball network (access network) and the content network will agree to peer if the cost of peering is less than the cost of transit for both of them, regardless of the traffic flows. It doesnu2019t take two MBAs to figure that one out.nnYet, I am still concerned about the termination monopoly problem. Let me be clear. I am not saying this is happening, nor that it will. However, the competitive threat remains. My concern is that the u201cyouu2019re nuts if you think youu2019ll use my pipes for feeu201d extortion of payments could change the network economics. In the absence of peering, how is the content network paying the access network for managed (premium) service on its access network not like calling party pays, with the corresponding problems? nnFinally, I canu2019t offer much advice on the alcohol. Maybe try u201cinterconnectu201d the meetings with another. u201cHi. I my name is Tier 1 Network, and Iu2019m anu2026u201d

  • http://www.niftyc.org/ Christian

    I love that Emile Dupuit quote. Francois Bar put it on a transparency when I took Media Economics from him. nnClearly we are thinking along the same lines about both network neutrality and railroad metaphors. My recent post:nnhttp://futuretense.publicradio.org/blog/index.php?id=981794782nnI swear I had to turn that post in earlier than it was put online. I wasn’t copying you or the carriages!

  • http://kennethrcarter.com/CoolStuff Kenneth R. Carter

    Christian, thanks for your comment. Prof. Medini Singh at Columbia B-School uses the Depuit quote in his Advanced Service Operations course. (Prof. Singh is the one of the best, certainly funniest, professors I have ever had). It also appears in a paper or two by Odlyzko, who is nothing short of a genius.

    Thanks for cross-posting to your blog. What do they say, fools seldom differ…

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  • Rudolf

    :quote: Bill-and-keep is the way most Internet traffic is exchanged (peering). It works well when the networks are roughly equivalent in size, traffic flows, and cost-causation. :/quote:nnThis was the bit I had a problem with. It’s just not correct. networks don’t need to be roughly equivalent in size or traffic flows and cost causation. nnAlso I fully agree that we need to stay away from terminating monopolies and horror of horrors cascading payments. These have stifled competition for ages now. nnI do feel that if parties stick to peering and transit in the way it is done now, there will be less of a problem with terminating monopolies. A network can ask to be paid for a peering connection, but this can be refused too and it will be refused if the price is above the price of transit.

  • http://kennethrcarter.com/CoolStuff Kenneth R. Carter

    I stand corrected.

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